Daly off to flying start at British Open

Golf Betting Lines

07/15/2010 - St. Andrews, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - John Daly has played golf all over the world the last few years in search of his form that helped him earn five PGA Tour victories.

Daly came from out of nowhere to win the 1991 PGA Championship and that helped kick start his career. In 1995, he needed extra holes to claim his second major championship title at the British Open.

At St.Andrews in 1995, Costantino Rocca made a miraculous birdie from the Valley of Sin on the 72nd hole to force a playoff with Daly.

Daly birdied the second playoff hole, while Rocca three-putted for bogey. The Italian tried to force a shot close to the hole on 17 and found the Road Hole bunker. Three shots later, Rocca finally was out of the sand, but also out of the championship.

Daly won the playoff by four strokes. It was his second major championship title, but last victory until the 2004 Buick Invitational.

The 44-year-old has made the cut in eight of his 14 worldwide starts this year, yet hasn't finished inside the top-20 all season.

He made one start on the Nationwide Tour, in his home state, and posted his best finish of the year there when he tied for 22nd.

Daly flew out of the gate Thursday at St. Andrews with birdies on one and two. After a birdie on the sixth, he poured in four straight birdie chances from the eighth to jump to seven-under.

He settled in with five pars in a row from the 12th. At the Road Hole, No. 17, Daly hit a huge drive down the fairway off the tee, but missed the green to the right. He pitched to eight feet, but missed on the left edge.

And that was the story of Daly's back nine. He had 12 feet for birdie on 15, but missed. At the 16th, his 10-footer slid by the right edge.

His bogey on 17 dropped him to minus-six and into a share of the lead at the time. Daly's drive at the last was close enough to the green that he was able to putt his second.

That putt got within 10 feet of the hole, but Daly again was unable to covert as his birdie effort at the last lipped out to give him his fourth 66 of the season.

The last time Daly shot 66 at the Open Championship was in 1993, in the second round at Royal St. George's. It also matched his career-low in a major.

Daly also posted a 66 at the 1997 PGA Championship.

With near-perfect scoring conditions early in Thursday's first round, Daly exited the course in second place and on pace for his best finish in a major since sharing 15th at St. Andrews in 2005.

Wwgoto Golf Betting News

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.